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The Record · Preseason

Preseason Stock Report

Zero snaps played. Everything below is a temperature read and nothing more than that.

Nobody has kicked a ball off yet, and that is the honest disclaimer for all of it. Nothing here is a depth chart. It's where six weeks of camp access and a whole lot of staff language leave a program that hasn't been tested by anybody except itself. Treat the arrows as leanings, not facts. Grambling fixes some of this in eleven days.

Stock Up
Cam Edwards · RB
Offense · RBPortal add▲ Up

The best player on the roster, full stop

Edwards didn't come to East Lansing to be a complementary piece, and nothing in camp has suggested the staff sees him that way either. He is the most talented player Michigan State has, portal pedigree included, and whatever this offense becomes in Year 1 is probably going to run downhill through him first and figure the rest out later. The passing game will get its turn. The easiest yards on this roster are currently behind Edwards.

Leo Hannan · QB — the upside bet
Offense · QBRS Fr▲ Up

Mansour bought the ceiling

Separate this from whether he's ready, because that's a different conversation. Mansour picked Hannan over a quarterback who stabilized the offense a year ago, and he did it for one reason: arm talent and developmental range that Milivojevic doesn't offer. Nobody in that building has argued Hannan is the better August quarterback. They've argued he's the better November one.

Jayden Savoury · FB/H-back
Offense · TERS Fr▲ Up

The staff is betting on a mismatch

A redshirt freshman starting at tight end because the staff thinks his combination of size and movement breaks how linebackers and safeties are taught to defend that spot. Nobody in the building is calling him a finished product — he isn't — but the traits are the kind Mansour's personnel staff was built to identify. Watch how fast a redshirt freshman's skill set translates against actual college speed.

Tre Bell · CB → nickel/slot
Defense · NickelPosition change▲ Up

A corner who got reimagined

Bell came in as an outside corner prospect on paper. The staff looked at his fluidity and physicality and decided his best football is inside — a nickel who can cover a slot receiver, blitz off the edge, and still show up in the run fit. It's the clearest proof-of-concept for what this defense wants from its defensive backs, and it only works if Bell is actually as versatile as the staff believes.

Linebacker Room
Defense · LB5 deep▲ Up

The clearest floor on the roster

Jordan Hall, Dion Crawford, Dejae White, Brady Pretzlaff, Cam Stodghill — this is the position group Mansour trusts most, and it isn't close. Athletic, deep enough that one injury doesn't wreck the plan, and the only room on this roster where a bad Saturday would read as an outlier rather than the pattern. Coverage reps in space are still the thing to watch.

Nick Mansour · Communication
Program · HC▲ Up

The one thing that already looks real

Whatever you think about the résumé, the way he handles a room — press conference, team meeting, a reporter's follow-up — has not looked like a 28-year-old figuring it out in real time. That skill was the actual argument for the hire, separate from scheme or roster building, and six weeks in, it's the part that hasn't needed a disclaimer yet.

Stock Watch
Interior O-Line
Offense · IOLLeast trusted▼ Watch closely

The group that could shape the whole offense

This is the least-trusted unit in the building, and it's not particularly close either — just in the other direction from linebacker. If the interior can't hold up in protection or move people at the point of attack, everything downstream gets harder: Edwards has to create more than he should, tight ends and backs get pulled into pass pro instead of running routes, and Hannan or Milivojevic loses the clean pocket both of them need early.

Leo Hannan · Readiness
Offense · QB◆ Unresolved

The flip side of the ceiling bet

Upside and readiness are not the same question, and the second one hasn't been answered by anybody outside the building. A redshirt freshman with a big arm and a live decision-making process is exactly the profile that can look brilliant on Tuesday and lost on Saturday. Grambling is a soft landing. Eastern Michigan follows, and then it's South Bend.

Alessio Milivojevic · QB2
Offense · QB▶ Holding

Handled the way it should be

He stabilized a broken offense last season and lost the job anyway, and to the staff's credit, nobody in the building has treated that like a demotion he needs to be grateful for. He's QB2 by convention as much as competition, and Mansour has been careful — publicly and, from what's filtered out, privately too — not to make him sound like a caretaker. What happens if Hannan struggles is the next question, not this one.

Pass-Protection Structure
Offense · Scheme◆ Unresolved

Scheme has to cover for the group up front

Given where the interior line sits, the passing game's structure — protection calls, sight adjustments, how much help stays in versus releases — may end up mattering as much as any individual matchup. This is where "complex for opponents, simple for us" gets its first real stress test, because a rattled protection plan makes everything else on the call sheet harder to trust.

Staff Alignment
Program · Staff▶ Holding

A building full of adults with their own authority

Sheridan and Rossi didn't sign up to be yes-men, and nothing about the collaborative, self-scouting culture Mansour has built suggests he wants them to be. That's mostly a strength. It also means a building full of people with their own credibility and their own read on the program, and rooms like that don't stay frictionless once the record has actual games in it.

Week 1 vs. Grambling
Program · Wk 1◆ First evidence

Can MSU just look normal?

Forget style points. The lowest bar available, and the most revealing one: can this team take the field against Grambling and look like a program that knows what it's doing? Clean operation, no self-inflicted chaos, no sign that six weeks of installing a new identity broke something that used to work. Normal would be a genuine data point right now.

The Projected Two-Deep

Unofficial

Michigan State has not released a depth chart and, per the staff, does not intend to release one before the week of the opener. What follows is our own projection, assembled from open-practice viewing periods, who took reps with whom, and the way position coaches referred to players in the few availabilities we got. It will be wrong in places. Camp bodies move.

Read this before you screenshot the table. Nothing below is confirmed by the program. No games have been played, no official ones or twos have been published, and several of these rooms were still rotating in the last week of camp. Names in the second column are our best read, not an announcement, and the invented-depth caveat applies hardest to the offensive line and the back end, where the staff has been deliberately quiet.
Offense — projected Base personnel: 11 · Projection only
PosFirstSecondNote
QBLeo Hannan RS Fr.Alessio Milivojevic Jr.Named, publicly, and framed as a ceiling decision rather than a competition anyone lost.
RBCam Edwards Sr.CenterpieceTrey Boudreau RS Fr.The gap between one and two here is the widest on the roster.
WR (X)Braylon Collier So.Emmett Rowe Jr.Collier ran with the ones almost every period we saw.
WR (Z)Kobe Vandermeer Sr.Elijah Prentiss So.Projected. This spot rotated more than any other skill position.
WR (slot)Jamari Wexler Jr.Ty Ostrowski RS Fr.Slot usage overlaps with Savoury detached, which muddies the read.
TEJayden Savoury RS Fr.Mismatch betBeau Lindquist Sr.Lindquist is the in-line blocker; the two of them together is 12 personnel.
LTAaron Kolstad Jr.Nate Ozuna RS Fr.Projected.
LGGriff Mahoney So.Peter Bao RS Fr.Interior spot. Least settled area on the projection.
CEmil Vasquez Sr.Charlie Renner So.Makes the protection calls, which raises the stakes on the backup line.
RGDeAndre Pitts Jr.Kellan Boyce RS Fr.Interior spot. Projected.
RTMicah Trulson Sr.Owen Brubaker So.Projected.
Defense — projected Base: 4-2-5 nickel · Projection only
PosFirstSecondNote
DE (field)Trevonte Ashby Sr.Kade Simmons So.Projected.
DT (3-tech)Malik Ouedraogo Jr.Sam Vartanian RS Fr.Projected.
NT (1-tech)Tavien Okafor Sr.Reece Dombrowski So.Whether MSU can hold up here from lighter personnel is the whole defensive premise.
DE (rush)Jonah Ekpe Jr.Zion Marable RS Fr.Projected.
MIKEJordan Hall Sr.Cam Stodghill So.Highest-floor room on the roster.
WILLDion Crawford Jr.Brady Pretzlaff So.Coverage in space is the open question, not the run fit.
Heavy personnel only — the third linebacker is a package, not a starter
SAMDejae White Jr.Chris Piwowarczyk RS So.Only on the field when the offense goes big. The size of this row is the tell.
Secondary — five defensive backs is the starting point
NICKELTre Bell Jr.Proof of conceptAmari Whitcomb So.Cover the slot, blitz off the edge, fit the run. If Bell can do all three, the base works.
CBDevin Aldrich Sr.Chase Bermudez RS Fr.Projected.
CBKori Blackmon Jr.Elias Thorpe So.Projected.
FSRashaad Beauchamp Sr.Landon Pyle So.Projected.
SS / roverSami Haddad Jr.Cortez Mullins RS Fr.The interchangeability of these two safety spots is the thing the staff keeps describing.

Specialists are left off deliberately. We didn't see enough live kicking to guess at it, and guessing at a kicker in August is how you end up apologizing in September.

Personnel Packages

How the groupings should look

"Complex for opponents, simple for us" is a personnel statement before it's a play-calling one. The way an offense disguises itself without asking the quarterback to learn more is by changing who's on the field and where they line up, not by adding pages to the call sheet. Here's the shape we'd expect, with the same caveat as everything above: projected, not published.

11
1 RB · 1 TE · 3 WR — the base
  • Edwards single-back, Savoury detached from the formation
  • Collier outside, slot receiver inside, third receiver to the boundary
  • Motion used to declare coverage before the snap
Where a young quarterback should live. Widest spacing, cleanest reads, most obvious rotation to diagnose. Expect this to be the majority grouping by a comfortable margin.
12
1 RB · 2 TE · 2 WR — the leverage look
  • Lindquist in-line, Savoury flexed or in the slot
  • Same formation runs and throws; the personnel does the lying
  • Helps an interior line that would rather not be identified early
The grouping that makes the Savoury bet worth making. A defense that answers 12 with a linebacker has a coverage problem; one that answers with a nickel has a run-fit problem.
21
2 backs · 1 TE · 2 WR — situational
  • An H-back or second back inserted rather than a true fullback
  • Short yardage, goal line, and the four-minute offense
  • Extra body in protection when the interior needs help
Low volume, high stakes. If this shows up on standard downs in the second half, it's usually a tell that something up front isn't holding.
4-2-5
Nickel as the starting point, not the adjustment
  • Four down, two off-ball linebackers, five defensive backs
  • Bell as the nickel with three jobs: cover, pressure, fit
  • Simulated pressure — show five, rush four, drop a lineman
  • Dime (4-1-6) available on obvious passing downs
The stress test is stopping the run from light personnel. Everything Rossi's group does downstream depends on the interior holding up without a third linebacker on the field.

Snap & Touch Projections

Ranges, not forecasts

Ranges for a hypothetical normal Saturday against Grambling, meaning nothing weird happens with the game situation. These are our estimates. The program has projected nothing, promised nothing, and would probably like it noted that a coaching staff decides usage on Saturday, not a reporter in August.

Cam EdwardsRB
18–24 touches
Carries plus targets. The floor of that range is what happens if the game is comfortable early and the staff protects him.
Leo HannanQB
40–55 snaps
Every first-half snap in a normal script. The back half depends entirely on the game state, which is exactly why the opener won't settle much.
Alessio MilivojevicQB
0–15 snaps
A wide range on purpose. Whether he plays at all, and in what circumstance, is its own piece of information about how the staff sees the room.
Jayden SavouryTE
32–44 snaps
A redshirt freshman's first real workload. Watch whether the snaps come detached or in-line, because those are two different bets.
Braylon CollierWR
28–38 snaps
Young player, real role. The number matters less than whether he's on the field on third down.
Tre BellNickel
45–58 snaps
If the nickel is genuinely the base, Bell should approach an every-down number. A lower count would mean the 4-2-5 talk was aspirational.
Jordan HallMIKE
45–55 snaps
Signal-caller reps. Rotation behind him is expected but not at the expense of the communication.
Dion CrawfordWILL
40–52 snaps
Coverage snaps are the ones to actually chart, not the total.
White / Pretzlaff / StodghillLB rotation
12–25 each
The depth claim gets tested here. A room this deep should be able to rotate without the defense changing character.

What Would Change Our Mind

Week 1 evidence

Arrows are cheap in August. Below is the specific thing that would move each one, so this page can be graded later instead of quietly rewritten.

Stock Up — what would knock these down
Cam Edwards
Fewer than a dozen touches in a game that stays normal. That would mean the staff either doesn't trust the blocking in front of him or has a usage plan nobody has described out loud.
Hannan (upside)
A first half where the answer to pressure is a check-down every time. The bet was arm talent, and if the structure never lets him use it, the reason for the decision starts eroding immediately.
Jayden Savoury
Snaps in the twenties, mostly in-line, mostly blocking. That would mean the mismatch idea got shelved the moment real defenders showed up.
Tre Bell
Bell coming off the field on early downs for a third linebacker. The whole nickel-first premise lives or dies on him being an every-down player.
Linebacker room
Blown communication on motion and shifts, or a rotation that visibly changes what the defense can call. Depth is only depth if the second guy runs the same defense.
Mansour's comms
A postgame that shifts blame to a player, or an answer about the quarterback that sounds different from the six weeks of answers before it. Consistency under mild adversity is the first real test of the one thing that's already looked real.
Stock Watch — what would move these up
Interior O-line
Consistent movement on inside runs and a pocket that holds without extra help. The specific tell is whether the tight ends and backs get to run routes on standard downs instead of staying in to chip.
Hannan (readiness)
Clean pre-snap operation — no wasted timeouts, no delay penalties, no scrambling to get lined up. Poise on the boring stuff is worth more in the opener than any throw he makes.
Milivojevic
Whatever role he gets, handled the way the staff has described it. A defined package would say the QB2 conversation is settled rather than parked.
Protection structure
Pressure answered by adjustment rather than by throwing it away. Sight adjustments that show up on tape would mean the teaching survived contact.
Staff alignment
A defense that looks coordinated on third down and a sideline where the in-game decisions don't need explaining afterward. Rooms with real adults in them either compound or grind; the opener is the first look at which.
Week 1 baseline
Substitution that works, personnel groups on and off the field cleanly, no pre-snap chaos. Normal is the bar. Clearing it wouldn't prove the hire; failing to clear it would be the loudest thing that happened all September.
Scope note. Everything on this page is either observation from open practice periods or explicitly labeled projection. No statistics, no results, no injury information and no depth-chart announcements exist yet, because the team has not played. Grambling State is eleven days out.